How the January transfer window could determine the eventual winners

January 31st 2013: A date which, outside the footballing world, has little significance.

However, take a glance inside the corridors of Premier League clubs around the country and you would witness a flurry of activity as owners and managers frantically search for talent to assist in their domestic campaigns. A cacophony of transfer speculation stems from the back pages of national newspapers, enticing fans with rumours of that defender they so desperately need or the striker their goal difference so urgently requires.

The difference between the forthcoming January transfer window and its annual predecessors is that for the first time in many a Premier League season, the destination of the coveted, lion-adorned trophy could depend on the calibre of signings that the contenders choose to make.

Last year, the two Manchester clubs were battling for the top spot as everyone else languished behind, but neither City nor United made any significant movement in the first month of 2012. This year could be a whole different story. With the greatest respect to third placed West Brom, the chances of bringing a Premier League trophy to the Hawthorns are about as slim as Fernando Torres claiming this season’s golden boot.

By way of elimination and the structure of the league table as it stands, Manchester City, Manchester United and Chelsea are the genuine contenders at the present moment. However, all three clubs have genuine issues that need resolving.

The remedy?

The January transfer window.

Manchester City

The current holders are finding their first season as Champions difficult to contend with. Despite remaining unbeaten in the Premier League thus far, Mancini’s men have struggled to find that killer instinct that won them so many games last season.

With main man Sergio Aguero hardly firing on all cylinders, City have drawn too many games and have had to rely on underrated super sub Edin Dzeko to bail them out of trouble on numerous occasions.

Meanwhile, their summer signings have had very little impact, with Scott Sinclair anonymous for most games and Jack Rodwell and Javi Garcia finding it difficult to break into a team that has a midfield boasting some of the best players in the world. Matija Nastasic is the only new kid on the block who has wholly impressed thus far.

January Solutions

Sign another striker – While this may seem a foolish idea to suggest, given the amount of forwards at the Etihad, a new, world class goal machine could see the side improve dramatically. To allow this move to occur however, Mancini may have to…

Sell. Sell. Sell – Unhappy players make for unhappy clubs. With an incredible amount of talent at Manchester City, world class athletes are forced to remain on the bench or in the stands. Players of the calibre of Mario Balotelli and Edin Dzeko staying side-lined for much of the available playing time, will only bring unwanted unrest and anger to the club. By cashing in on fringe players, Mancini will be able to focus on a core group of footballers with a couple of new additions, to continue with the fierce battle to retain their Premier League crown.

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Manchester United

A short journey across Manchester takes us to Old Trafford, where United currently sit atop the Premier League table. However, their position at the summit does not tell of the defensive frailties that have been ever present with Sir Alex’s men this season, especially at home.

The club have conceded more goals than the likes of Fulham, Stoke and Sunderland, forcing United to score an unusual amount of goals themselves in order to win matches. While the summer months allowed Fergie to boost his offensive options, this winter the Scotsman may have to strengthen other areas of his squad that were overlooked during the previous window

January Solutions

Bolster the Defence – Injury problems have not helped the cause at Old Trafford. However, Man United’s back four have looked worryingly leaky whatever the combination of players. A reliant, ever present goalkeeper would help matters no end, but the issues in defence still need to be addressed.

Rafael and Patrice Evra are both world class forward thinking full backs. However, they are not the most adept defensive options. Meanwhile, Jonny Evans, Rio Ferdinand and Nemanja Vidic have all played some of their worst football at the back this season. A new face in defence may reinvigorate the team and allow the United faithful to trust their defensive line.

Find a long term replacement for Paul Scholes – You don’t have to be a genius to realise that Manchester United need a world class midfielder. Darren Fletcher and his impressive return from illness may bring a momentary answer to the dearth of in-form middle men at Old Trafford. However, it is essential for Sir Alex to find a long term replacement for Paul Scholes.

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At times, the team still rely on the 38-year-old for a moment of magic. This will not be available for much longer as the Premier League legend is well into his twilight years. The addition of a new, exciting, world class midfielder could be the remedy for success this season.

Chelsea

With Chelsea already five points adrift from the top of the league, new man at the helm Rafa Benitez already has some catching up to do. While the personnel on the pitch at Stamford Bridge looks stronger than ever, problems with consistency in all areas of the club are leaving the Blues in danger of falling further adrift of their desired position. With Roman Abramovich ringing the changes with regularity and Fernando Torres misfiring once again, the fans at the Bridge will be praying for January’s arrival.

January Solutions

Find a striker – Oh Fernando. The £50 million that Chelsea spent on the Spaniard has to now be considered a waste. Everyone is still patiently waiting for El Nino to find his form again. Why?! It is now clear that after two years, Torres is no longer the same player we all witnessed arrive with a flurry of goals at Anfield. It is an absolute necessity for Abramovich to bring in a new striker who can hit the back of the net with regularity. Falcao, Cavani and Willian have all been linked. Let’s see it happen.

Sell the old guard – All the talk of Ashley Cole and Frank Lampard leaving for far off lands has quite obviously distracted Chelsea from the task at hand – reclaiming the Premier League trophy. The best course of action would be to let the old guard leave the club quietly in January, in order to move on from the whole furore and let the young talent take the club forward.

With little over four weeks to go until the floodgates open and the merry-go-round of the transfer window swings back to life, it will be an interesting December. For the three aforementioned clubs, unless their issues miraculously disappear over the Christmas period, January will be a time for change and New Year’s Resolutions will need to be upheld.

Celtic: Devlin makes Carter-Vickers claim

The Athletic’s Celtic correspondent Kieran Devlin has claimed that the Hoops ‘definitely’ want to make Cameron Carter-Vickers’ loan move from Tottenham permanent in the summer.  

The Lowdown: Premier League clubs keen

The 24-year-old has been a regular under Ange Postecoglou this season and the Hoops have an option to make his loan move permanent at the end of the season in a deal worth an initial £6m.

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The USA international, who has been hailed as ‘incredible’ by his former Luton Town boss Graeme Jones, is on £22,000 per week but is now attracting interest from a number of English teams.

According to reports in the week, eight English clubs are showing an interest in the 24-year-old, five of which currently ply their trade in the Premier League.

The Latest: Devlin’s comments on Carter-Vickers

Here at The Transfer Tavern, we asked Devlin on Sunday morning for an update on Carter-Vickers following the links with numerous teams south.

This is what he had to say in reply in his Q&A on The Athletic, claiming that the Hoops ‘definitely’ want to sign the defender:

“Nothing new, really. Celtic have first say with their option-to-buy and they definitely want him, but ultimately it’ll be down to the player I believe.

“Newcastle was his preference in August but their interest wasn’t serious enough, so when Spurs called Celtic and offered them him on deadline day they readily accepted – they’d enquired about a loan with option-to-buy earlier that month but Spurs initially rejected it wanting only a permanent move, but by deadline day they just wanted him out the squad.

“Not sure how that’s changed and wouldn’t want to speculate – whether he now feels at home at Celtic or whether his performances attracting EPL attention will swivel his head.”

The Verdict: Fingers crossed

Postecoglou has trusted Carter-Vickers throughout the season and has reaped the rewards, with the defender impressing in Glasgow.

No Celtic player has won more aerial duels per game than the American, who also leads the way in terms of clearances per game at Parkhead and is dribbled past the least. [WhoScored]

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A £6m permanent deal would make him the club’s ninth-most expensive signing of all time, but following his performances this season, it could prove to be a shrewd move in the long run, especially with plenty of Premier League sides now keen on him.

In other news: Journalist drops ‘insane’ Celtic transfer claim regarding Ange moving for Real Madrid winger

LUFC’s Dallas has impressed this season

Leeds United have had a tough second season in the Premier League after their 16-year absence that was brought to an end when Marcelo Bielsa got them promoted at the end of their 2019/20 Championship campaign.

With 27 league games played, the Yorkshire club have only managed to win five of them, drawing eight and losing 14 as well as scoring 27 goals but conceding a whopping 61, which is more than any other club in the division.

While their results and team performances may not have been up to scratch this time around, there has been one individual player that can be regarded as a standout figure for the Whites – Stuart Dallas.

Having racked up more minutes in the league than any other outfield player at the club this season, this highlights just how prominent and important he has been for the team, as was the case in their previous campaign.

Also, taking into account how he’s played in numerous positions across the defence and midfield, his versatility has been nothing short of vital for the Whites considering the injuries to the likes of Liam Cooper and Kalvin Phillips.

Unsurprisingly due to the number of minutes he’s played, Dallas has had more touches of the ball (1583) than any of his teammates, highlighting how involved he is during each match as well as making more tackles (30), blocks (47) interceptions (60) than any other Leeds player.

Labelled as a “selfless” player that acts as the “linchpin” for his side by Jermaine Beckford, the Northern Irishman has once again proved his worth to the club, who would certainly be in a worse position than they are had the 30-year-old not been available in the same way that Phillips and Patrick Bamford haven’t been for much of the season.

Even though winger Raphinha has been important for the team in terms of his goals and general attacking output, Dallas’ all-round play has arguably been more significant in what has been a disheartening campaign for the Yorkshire club so far.

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Moving forward, with Jesse Marsch now in charge, everyone at Elland Road will undoubtedly be hoping that their versatile hero, who is currently picking up a weekly wage of £53k-per-week according to Salary Sport, can stay fit and keep delivering the industrious sort of performances that he has been so far to help keep his side in the Premier League.

In other news: Huge boost: Phil Hay drops teasing 9-word Leeds update that will have fans elated – opinion

Fabrizio Romano provides Rashford update

Manchester United forward Marcus Rashford is bemused by his lack of playing time, according to Fabrizio Romano.

The Lowdown: Rashford considering his future

Romano shared a huge update regarding Rashford less than 24 hours on from United’s 4-1 defeat to rivals Manchester City on Sunday.

The transfer expert revealed that the 24-year-old is considering his Old Trafford future and wants clarity from the club. Rashford has less than 18 months remaining on his current deal and hasn’t started any of United’s last four Premier League fixtures.

The Latest: Romano’s update on Rashford

Romano took to Twitter once more a few hours after claiming the forward is considering his future with The Red Devils.

He shared ‘more’ news on the England international, stating that United have an option to extend his contract for a further 12 months, with no decision made as of yet.

The journalist revaled:

“More on Marcus Rashford story. His contract expires in June 2023 but Man United have an option to extend for further season, I’m told. No decision made yet. MUFC Sources tell me that he’s ‘concerned’ and bemused with his role within the team due to a lack of playing time.”

The Verdict: All change?

United have a number of players who will be out of contract in the summer, and with a new manager looking likely to come in, it looks set to be a crucial summer for the club off the pitch.

A new manager should have a say on Rashford’s future, but it seems as if the forward’s mind may already be made up before Rangnick’s replacement comes through the door, judging by Romano’s claim.

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A run of starts could help to win the 24-year-old around, so it could be an interesting few months ahead of the summer transfer window.

In other news: Rangnick green-lights high profile Man Utd exit as news emerges on ‘unbelievable’ player

West Ham: Source drops Nandez claim

According to a report from Italian outlet Calciomercato [via Sport Witness], West Ham are interested in signing Cagliari midfielder Nahitan Nandez.

The lowdown: Return acts as a reminder

The 26-year-old is nearing a comeback following a spell sidelined through a positive Covid-19 test as well as a knee injury.

This imminent return has brought about fresh speculation regarding a possible summer move having previously been heavily linked to Inter Milan.

Now it appears that there is heightened interest in the Uruguay international as two Premier League sides show their admiration.

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The latest: Let the bidding commence

According to Italian sources, as translated by SW, West Ham and Leeds United are both keen and Cagliari are hoping to open an ‘auction’ for the versatile midfielder.

As such, the Serie A club hopes that the interest from English clubs would allow them to achieve close to a previous €35million (£29.4million) valuation.

However, Inter are said to have taken ‘concrete steps’ to sign the 49-cap ace and would appear to be in the driving seat.

The verdict: Fits the bill

David Moyes has built a team packed full of hardworking, dyed in the wool triers for the cause in east London, traits that would perfectly suit Nandez, described as a player who ‘leaves the last drop of sweat on the pitch’ by football agent Pablo Bentancur.

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Previously hailed elsewhere as ‘amazing’ by journalist Mina Rzouki following a performance against Napoli containing two key passes, two clearances and one goal (Sofascore),  the Uruguayan has certainly caught the eye in Italy, racking up nearly two tackles per game with his tenacity in midfield.

Valued at £16.2million and under contract until 2024 (Transfermarkt), signing Nandez for anything below the previous mooted asking price would be a worthwhile piece of business from the Hammers.

AVFC must unleash Tim Iroegbunam

Aston Villa missed out on the chance to secure four consecutive Premier League wins in a row yesterday after losing to West Ham United at the London Stadium with the home side winning 2-1.

Next up for the Midlands club is a home clash against another London club as Arsenal will be making the trip to Villa Park on Saturday afternoon.

In terms of who could be available and who Villa manager Steven Gerrard could pick to be in his starting XI to take on Mikel Arteta’s side at the weekend, we think one rarely seen figure at the Midlands club should be in line for some action.

Opportunity knocks

Taking into account how Marvelous Nakamba is still out on the sidelines with a knee injury he picked up back in December and Douglas Luiz is set to have surgery on a facial injury he sustained during the recent defeat in east London, this could give Gerrard the chance to finally unleash Tim Iroegbunam if the previously mentioned midfield duo aren’t able to play on Saturday.

Having been an unused substitute in 11 of Villa’s 12 previous league games, the 19-year-old, who has been labelled as being “raw” by his manager, has only played four minutes of Premier League action this season, which came during the club’s 2-0 win over Brighton & Hove Albion last month.

Described as having a “fantastic profile for a number six” by Gerrard, the teenager could finally show everyone at the Midlands club what he’s capable of by getting his first start of the campaign against the north London club this weekend.

With the Gunners scoring ten goals in their past five league games, it would certainly be a tough test for the youngster to come in for his first full game of his senior Villa career. However, if he were able to express himself on the pitch and help his side keep Arsenal out and ultimately pick up a positive result for the Villans, this would certainly show Gerrard he has what it takes to be a regular performer for the club.

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Moving forward, depending on what the injury situation is by the time Saturday rolls around, starting Iroegbunam should definitely be in the 41-year-old’s thoughts when deciding his team.

In other news: Major blow: Ashley Preece drops fresh Villa injury update, Gerrard will be gutted – opinion

Does Moise Kean have a future at Everton?

Everton striker Richarlison is pushing for a move away from Goodison Park this summer, and English duo Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Jordan Pickford could also join him through the exit door.

The potential departures of the Brazilian and Calvert-Lewin would leave the club short in attacking options, with forgotten man Cenk Tosun also set to leave the club at the end of the season upon the expiration of his contract.

They may not need to find a replacement, however, with the likes of Ellis Simms and Thomas Cannon making great progress with the U23s, and Juventus loanee Moise Kean potentially returning to the club in the summer.

What’s the news?

According to Italian journalist Paolo Bargiggia, who told Calcio Mercato, Juventus are trying to get out of their agreement to permanently sign the striker, saying: “Regarding Kean, the signals are not very good.

“They will try to return him by not continuing with the deal set when they took him.”

The deal, which would have seen the Merseyside club earn £6.6m up front and another £23.3m in bonuses, is now in doubt – after the Turin club signed Dusan Vlahovic in January – pushing him further down the pecking order.

Could replace Richarlison

With Everton potentially losing their star attackers in the summer, the Kean deal breaking down could present the Toffees with a blessing in disguise, and Frank Lampard should certainly give the Italian a second chance at the club, after scoring 22 goals across his loan spells with Paris Saint-Germain and Juve.

While his first spell in the Premier League didn’t work out, having learned from the likes of Paulo Dybala, Neymar and Kylian Mbappe over the last two seasons, the 22-year-old, who was described by now Chelsea boss Thomas Tuchel as “fearless” and “courageous”, he could now be a success in the Premier League.

A technically gifted forward, Kean is an excellent dribbler, evident by him ranking in the top 10% of strikers in Europe’s top five leagues and continental competitions for dribbles completed per 90 (1.77) and top 6% for percentage of dribbles completed per 90 (65.9%).

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Compared to one of PSG’s great, with Eric Rabesandratana saying that “he is on the same path as Cavani,” there is a lot to like about the young £29m Italian.

He won’t cost the club a penny in transfer fees, with him already being under contract, meaning that Lampard could spend the money earned over any potential summer sales to improve other areas of the squad.

In other news: Everton plot bid to sign “magical” £16.2m-rated talent, he could replace Richarlison

Celtic open Cameron Carter-Vickers talks

Celtic have opened talks with Tottenham over the structure of a potential permanent deal for Cameron Carter-Vickers, Sky Sports report.

The Lowdown: Scott links

The update on Carter-Vickers isn’t the first Celtic transfer update from Sky Sports this week.

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The Hoops have reportedly been in talks over a move for Bayern Munich youngster Christopher Scott.

Premier League side Brentford have also been name-checked with an interest, however, Bayern Munich are looking to keep hold of their young attacking midfielder, who, at this moment time, is out of contract in the summer.

The Latest: Carter-Vickers updates

Sky Sports shared a story late on Tuesday evening, looking at 50 players who could be involved in transfers this summer.

One of those was Carter-Vickers, who, as we know, could make a full-time switch to Parkhead due to Celtic’s option to buy clause in a season-long loan.

They added that talks are underway regarding the structure of a possible full-time deal, which would cost an initial £6m.

The Verdict: Parkhead move inevitable?

You’d like to think that talks will go well between the two clubs and Carter-Vickers will make the move to Scotland on a permanent basis.

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He has slotted into Ange Postecoglou’s side with ease, making more appearances in green and white than any other side during a career scattered with various loan spells.

The American has also been Celtic’s best-rated centre-back, as per WhoScored, so the player himself may well be keen on making a move permanent, despite Premier League interest from Leicester and Wolves.

In other news: ‘As well…’ – Journalist drops claim on more exit news at Celtic Park; it’s a potential ‘bonus’. 

City: Guardiola in awe of Gundogan

During his post-match press conference following the victory over Burnley, Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola was full of praise for midfield general Ilkay Gundogan. 

The lowdown: A Pep favourite

Signed for £21million from Borussia Dortmund (Sky Sports), Gundogan was the Spanish manager’s first signing when taking over at the Etihad.

Since then the experienced German has made an astonishing 244 appearances for the Citizens, scoring 43 times and providing 33 assists in that time.

Therefore, it’s perhaps of little surprise that Guardiola would hold the midfielder in such high esteem after he became the highest-scoring German in Premier League history on Saturday.

The latest: record-breaking exploits

Gundogan volleyed home City’s second goal on the afternoon, overtaking Mesut Ozil’s previously tally of 33 English top-flight strikes.

Speaking after the comfortable 2-0 success at Turf Moor, Guardiola sang the praises of the 31-year-old’s display.

As quoted by City Xtra on Twitter, the Spanish boss stated: “Wow! He’s an exceptional human being first. So intelligent, you can talk with him about everything, and it’s nice to have players like him. I’m so glad, happy he could make this record.”

The verdict: High praise indeed

Receiving such high praise from any manager, let alone Guardiola must be music to the ears of any player.

In truth, goal aside this was another performance right out of the top drawer from the £31.5million valued Gundogan (Transfermarkt), who completed 5/5 long balls, 50/55 passes and made one successful tackle in an all-important victory for the Sky Blues (Sofascore).

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This latest strike took the German to eight goals for the season, combined with another six assists from 34 appearances across all competitions, as the once defensive midfielder continues to defy conventional wisdom with his goalscoring prowess in recent seasons.

In other news: Man City linked with move for La Liga star. Find out more here.

Bigger flop than Raskin: Rohl must sell “infuriating” Rangers star

Glasgow Rangers head coach Danny Rohl has some huge decisions to make when the January transfer window officially opens for business next week.

The Light Blues fell 12 points adrift of league leaders Hearts after losing 2-1 at Tynecastle on Sunday, which means that their title hopes are already fading.

However, they will still be fighting for second place and have the SFA Cup to target in the second half of the season, so making moves in January could be key to that.

The key priorities Rangers should have in January

Signing a new number nine should be one of the key priorities for Rohl and the board when the January transfer window opens for business, because their current striker options have not done enough.

Youssef Chermiti and Bojan Miovski have combined for five goals in the Scottish Premiership, per Sofascore, which is a paltry return that should force the club to consider making a move for a new striker who could come in and score goals at a more consistent rate.

A creative attacking midfielder or winger should also be on the agenda for the Light Blues. Per WhoScored, no attacking midfielder or winger in the squad has produced more than two league assists, which speaks to a lack of creativity at the top end of the pitch.

Thelo Aasgaard was signed from Luton in the summer to provide quality as an attacking midfielder, but he has as many red cards (one) as goals (one) for Rangers.

On top of signing those two attacking profiles, the Gers should also be looking to thin out their squad by parting ways with some players who have rarely played. For example, Kieran Dowell has not featured since August, and Rabbi Matondo is yet to make a matchday squad this season.

Rangers could also cash in on some of their star players in order to create funds for a squad overhaul. With this in mind, Rohl must ruthlessly sell Mohamed Diomande, who has been an even bigger flop than Nicolas Raskin.

Why Rangers should sell Diomande

Journalist Jonny McFarlane claimed that Raskin has “been really poor” and claimed that Hearts midfielder Cammy Devlin “dominated” him against Hearts, as the Belgian has fallen off after his impressive form last term.

Chalkboard

Football FanCast’s Chalkboard series presents a tactical discussion from around the global game.

FootballFanCast suggested on Monday that the club’s reported interest in Pierre Ekwah could be the end of the Belgium international, as his arrival would allow the Ibrox giants to part ways with him.

Diomande and Raskin combined for ten goals and 20 assists in all competitions in midfield for Rangers last season, per Sofascore, but they have both fallen off and failed to carry their strong form into the 2025/26 campaign.

The Ivorian midfielder, for example, has been shown more red cards (two) than he has scored goals (one) in all competitions for the Light Blues, having been sent off twice already in the league phase of the Europa League.

After the 2-1 defeat to Hearts, writer Michael McEwan posted that “Diomande’s obsession with turning on the ball every time he’s in possession is utterly infuriating” and said that he got “bullied” by the Jam Tarts midfield.

25/26 Premiership

Diomande

Raskin

Appearances

14

15

Goals

1

1

Assists

1

3

Tackles + interceptions per game

1.8

2.6

Ground duel success rate

45%

53%

Aerial duel success rate

36%

62%

Clearances per game

0.4

1.7

Stats via Sofascore

As you can see in the table above, Raskin has also significantly outperformed Diomande in the Premiership so far this season, with superior output in and out of possession in the middle of the park.

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The left-footed midfielder was linked with a move to Besiktas during the summer transfer window, which suggests that there could be interest in him if Rangers decide they want to cash in.

Given that he has been an even bigger flop than Raskin this season, as evidenced by their respective statistics and Diomande’s two red cards, it could make sense to sell him in the January transfer window.

Cashing in on the 24-year-old flop now, before his form continues to decline and his valuation drops lower and lower, could be the right move to make, and it could allow Rohl to reinvest in other positions if the club can rake in a decent fee for his services.

£7m Rangers duo have been so poor they make Miovski & Chermiti look good

This £7m Rangers duo have been so underwhelming at Ibrox that they even make Bojan Miovski and Youssef Chermiti look good.

ByDan Emery

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